{blackbabes} Who will win, who should win at the Grammys

 

Analyzing chart rankings, creativity and voting patterns to predict Grammy winners is almost as useful as trusting a Ouija board. Relying on history and hunches, USA TODAY music critic Edna Gundersen considers 10 categories:

ALBUM
OF THE YEAR

The Suburbs, Arcade Fire
Eminem, Recovery
Lady Antebellum, Need You Now
Lady Gaga, The Fame Monster
Katy Perry, Teenage Dream

Will win: Recovery is potent, and Eminem is overdue. Should win:  The engaginglong shot, Suburbs.

RECORD

B.o.B featuring Bruno Mars, Nothin' on You
Eminem featuring Rihanna, Love the Way You Lie
Cee Lo Green, F—- You
Jay-Z & Alicia Keys, Empire State of Mind
Lady Antebellum, Need You Now

Will win:  Lady A's crossover hit tapped the widest swath of voters. Should win:  Cee Lo's grabby zinger.

SONG
(GOES TO WRITER)

Beg Steal or Borrow (performed by Ray LaMontagne and the Pariah Dogs)
F—- You (Cee Lo Green)
The House That Built Me (Miranda Lambert)
Love the Way You Lie (Eminem featuring Rihanna)
Need You Now (Lady Antebellum)

Will win: Need You Now. Should win:  Lambert minted an instant classic.

NEW ARTIST

Justin Bieber
Drake
Florence + The Machine
Mumford & Sons
Esperanza Spalding

Will/should win:  Drake's pop reach and rap cred should do the trick. Bieber has merit, but no teen has ever taken this.

FEMALE POP VOCAL

Sara Bareilles, King of Anything
Beyoncé, Halo (Live)
Norah Jones, Chasing Pirates
Lady Gaga, Bad Romance
Katy Perry, Teenage Dream

Will/should win:  The formidable Gaga.

MALE COUNTRY VOCAL

Jamey Johnson, Macon
Toby Keith, Cryin' for Me (Wayman's Song)
David Nail, Turning Home
Keith Urban, 'Til Summer Comes Around
Chris Young, Gettin' You Home

Will/should win:  Urban is a shoo-in for his fourth win, unless dark horse Johnson sneaks by.

ROCK DUO/GROUP

Arcade Fire, Ready to Start
Jeff Beck & Joss Stone, I Put a Spell on You
The Black Keys, Tighten Up
Kings of Leon, Radioactive
Muse, Resistance

Will win:  Arcade Fire. Should win:  In a strong field, Tighten Up has a leg up.

URBAN/ALTERNATIVE

Bilal, Little One
Cee Lo Green, F—- You
Carolyn Malachi, Orion
Janelle Monáe & Big Boi, Tightrope
Eric Roberson, Still

Will/should win:  Cee Lo is a lock.

RAP SOLO

Drake, Over
Eminem, Not Afraid
Ludacris, How Low
T.I., I'm Back
Kanye West, Power

Will win:  Eminem will collect his fifth win. Should win: Power had more juice.

PRODUCER OF THE YEAR

Rob Cavallo
Danger Mouse
Dr. Luke
RedOne
The Smeezingtons

Will win:  The Smeezingtons racked up multiple hits built to last. Should win:  RedOne deserves huge props as Lady Gaga's secret weapon.

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